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Message: convection in the Gulf--lack of

Posted by Girz on 18 Mar 98, 10:38 MT

Adrian and I were just looking at a convective system in the Gulf that had
three 727 aircraft report level 5 (severe) turbulence at 29,000 ft.
The satellite image shows the system, but none of the diagnostics or the
prognostic from the 2-h RUCII forecast from 15Z on March 17 show turbulence.
Any thoughts on why this convection might not have been forecast?


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