Forecast Discussions mentioning any of
"ACARS" "MDCRS" "AIRCRAFT" "TAMDAR" "AMDAR" "WVSS" received at GSD on 02/21/24
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
626 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2024
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 624 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2024
Quiet conditions continue across the region this evening with high
pressure dominating. The forecast remains on track.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2024
High pressure will continue to dominate into Thursday with fair
dry weather persisting. It`s looking like another rather chilly
night under clear skies with temperatures dipping into the 30s and
40s across most of the area late tonight into early Wednesday
morning. Will likely see some more frost like this morning across
inland parts of the Nature Coast south to near the Interstate 4
corridor where temperatures dip into the middle and upper 30s.
However, like this morning a lot of this will be mostly on cars
and roof tops where the temperatures dip into the upper 30s, with
some areas of frost in open fields/lawns where they dip into the
middle 30s from around Hernando County north.
Wednesday should be another quiet day with temperatures a few
degrees warmer than today followed by another chilly night
Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The real moderating trend
gets underway Thursday as winds shift to easterly and then
southerly as the high moves east away from the area and the next
cold front approaches from the northwest.
The cold front will move southeast across the forecast during
Friday afternoon and night with some showers along and ahead of
it. The highest rain chances will be across the Nature Coast
during the late morning and afternoon hours with the chances
diminishing as the boundary moves south thanks to the upper level
support moving out to the northeast.
Our next shot of cooler drier air will move in behind the front
for the weekend, but nothing too extraordinary, then a quick
moderating trend gets underway early next week as surface high
pressure moves off the southeast U.S. coast.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2024
No significant concerns for terminals until Friday when the next
front approaches the region. However, some patchy frost is possible
tomorrow morning to the north of TPA. Aircraft parked outside may
see some frost before daytime heating quickly melts this away.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 300 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2024
High pressure builds over the region into early Thursday with
generally north to northeast winds over the waters, except
becoming northwest during the afternoon hours as the sea breeze
develops. Winds switch to south to southwest during Thursday and
Friday as the next cold front moves toward the area, with some
showers expected mainly during the day on Friday. No headlines are
expected until Friday, when wind speeds increase to exercise
caution levels, possibly advisory level. Breezy northerly winds
will setup behind the front on Saturday then diminish and veer to
northeast Sunday.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 300 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2024
Drier air will remain over the region through Thursday, with
several hours of critically low relative humidity values expected
each day. No Red Flag conditions are expected however, as winds
will remain less than 15 mph and not reach criteria. Conditions
improve late in the week as a cold front approaches and brings
some shower activity to the area on Friday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 48 69 48 72 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 48 71 49 74 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 47 69 44 74 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 47 71 46 72 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 37 70 39 74 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 52 67 52 68 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE/AVIATION...Flannery
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Close