Forecast Discussions mentioning any of "ACARS" "MDCRS" "AIRCRAFT" "TAMDAR" "AMDAR" "WVSS" received at GSD on 10/18/19

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED

National Weather Service Lubbock TX

 631 PM CDT Thu Oct 17 2019

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours. Strong
low-level jet is expected to develop above the surface which will
result in LLWS for aircraft departing/arriving all three
terminals. Jet will dissipate around 12 UTC with surface wind
gradually veering to the west through the morning.

Jordan

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 250 PM CDT Thu Oct 17 2019/

DISCUSSION...
Mild and breezy conditions prevail for the rest of the day as
return flow increases over the Caprock region. Winds remain out
of the south overnight at around 10-15mph, which will moderate the
low temperatures compared to the past few nights. Overnight lows
in the lower 50s are expected across most of the county warning
area (CWA).

Daytime temperatures on Friday increase into the middle and upper
80s, as a nose of warm air advection (WAA) intensifies ahead of a
developing lee surface cyclone across the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandle region. Tomorrow will be blustery due to a well-mixed
boundary layer and stronger low-level WAA, with gusts up to 30mph
possible across West Texas.

As the lee surface low progresses to the southeast, a cool front
will pass through area. Chances for precipitation along this
front remain low, as dew point depressions in the low-levels will
be fairly large. Some vertical cloud development could be possible
in the northeastern portions of the CWA, but the chances for
precipitation are greater in areas east of the CWA. Temperatures
behind the front will fall back into the lower 50s, as the source
region for air in the post-frontal environment is essentially
modified continental dry air that has been in the region the last
few days. Temperatures Saturday will be in the middle 70s with
lows in the 50s once again.

Turning attention to the next cold front: WAA strengthens on
Sunday in response to a rapidly deepening cyclone in the northern
Great Plains. Temperatures will build into the middle 80s across
the South Plains and upper 80s in the Rolling Plains. Windy
conditions are expected, with gusts up to 30mph possible.

As the front passes through the area late Sunday, it is expected
to be mainly dry due to the scant availability of moisture over
the Caprock. Low chances for an isolated shower or thunderstorm
exist in the southeastern areas of the CWA; however, the best
chances will be east of our forecast area where deeper moisture
convergence is maximized. Temperatures will fall into the middle
40s overnight Sunday. The dry weather pattern continues into next
week, with mild temperatures and low chances for precipitation.

Sincavage

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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